Thursday, February 16, 2006

Russell’s Investment Manager’s Outlook Survey

Russell Investment Group of the Russell indexes has about $2.3 trillion in assets under consultation. Also, Russell Investment Group monitors close to 4,500 investment management firms. “Prior to the end of each quarter, Russell surveys a sample of those decision makers to collect their top-line opinions about the direction of the markets, sectors/styles to watch, and trends on the horizon that could impact investment strategy. The result of this survey is Russell’s Investment Manager Outlook.” The latest Investment Manager Outlook contains Russell’s quarterly survey of managers and their views of the market.

The table below lists the manager expectations by asset class for the coming year. The 80% of the responding managers are bullish on the US large cap growth stocks. On the other hand, 70% of the responding managers are bearish on the real estate.

Asset ClassBullishBearishNeutral
US Large Cap Growth 80911
US Mid Cap Growth67726
Non US Domiciled Equities 541729
Emerging Market Equities 511831
US Small Cap Growth452233
US Mid Cap Value372736
US Large Cap Value362836
US Small Cap Value234829
Cash203347
US Treasuries145531
Corporate Bonds135829
High Yield Bonds126226
Real Estate77023

The table below lists the manager expectations by sector for the coming year. The 74% of the responding managers are bullish on the healthcare sector. 73% of the responding managers are bearish on the autos and transportation sector.

SectorBullishBearishNeutral
Health Care74620
Technology721117
Other Energy532423
Integrated Oils462628
Financial Services402436
Consumer Staples352441
Materials Processing333235
Producer Durables292447
Consumer Discretionary274231
Utilities175528
Autos and Transportation 87319
Other6886

One other point to note is that 31% of the respondents consider market to be undervalued, 63% respondents consider market to be fairly valued, and only 6% consider market to be overvalued.

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